Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.001894 0.002077 0.002259 0.002455 0.002659 0.002864 0.003086
2025-02-02 0.001653 0.001925 0.002205 0.002513 0.002840 0.003176 0.003547
2025-02-09 0.001511 0.001860 0.002228 0.002641 0.003087 0.003553 0.004073
2025-02-16 0.001385 0.001800 0.002247 0.002757 0.003318 0.003910 0.004579
2025-02-23 0.001146 0.001595 0.002093 0.002674 0.003324 0.004020 0.004815
2025-03-02 0.000959 0.001434 0.001975 0.002621 0.003354 0.004150 0.005069
2025-03-09 0.000818 0.001315 0.001897 0.002605 0.003421 0.004315 0.005357
2025-03-16 0.000707 0.001223 0.001843 0.002611 0.003508 0.004500 0.005664
2025-03-23 0.000644 0.001185 0.001850 0.002685 0.003669 0.004767 0.006060
2025-03-30 0.000569 0.001123 0.001823 0.002715 0.003777 0.004971 0.006385
2025-04-06 0.000497 0.001061 0.001791 0.002735 0.003871 0.005156 0.006687
2025-04-13 0.000431 0.000998 0.001754 0.002746 0.003951 0.005324 0.006968
2025-04-20 0.000361 0.000930 0.001714 0.002761 0.004048 0.005525 0.007302
2025-04-27 0.000299 0.000867 0.001678 0.002780 0.004149 0.005730 0.007644
2025-05-04 0.000271 0.000856 0.001710 0.002884 0.004353 0.006058 0.008128
2025-05-11 0.000244 0.000843 0.001739 0.002985 0.004554 0.006382 0.008608
2025-05-18 0.000167 0.000727 0.001617 0.002885 0.004506 0.006412 0.008747
2025-05-25 0.000113 0.000638 0.001525 0.002821 0.004498 0.006486 0.008935
2025-06-01 0.000076 0.000575 0.001467 0.002798 0.004539 0.006618 0.009189
2025-06-08 0.000051 0.000527 0.001429 0.002800 0.004611 0.006784 0.009483
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000514 0.001444 0.002873 0.004772 0.007057 0.009901
2025-06-22 0.000026 0.000483 0.001428 0.002903 0.004875 0.007260 0.010237
2025-06-29 0.000014 0.000450 0.001406 0.002922 0.004965 0.007446 0.010552